Moz Afzal - The Global View, Part 1

The Morrissey Exchange, Shaw and Partners: Moz Afzal - The Global View, Part 1

In today’s podcast, Ben Morrissey interviews Mr Moz Afzal, EFGAM’s Senior PM and Global CIO.

We’re extremely fortunate to pick the brain of such an informed and well-connected economic talent; one of his role’s would be insanely demanding, let alone contending with both.

For those who don’t know, EFG is a global private banking and asset management group headquartered in Zurich and listed on the Swiss Stock Exchange. EFG operates in around 40 locations worldwide with 3000 employees, boasts $260 billion funds under management, but most importantly, to them of course, is they are Shaw & Partner’s Global partner.

We cover a lot here, hence the two parts.

In this episode we discuss Moz’s expectations for a number of the major global economies, international ideologies, War and the potential outcomes in Ukraine, the Euro and whether it will last, political leaders, and so on.

Moz was a particularly endearing sort of fella, and has that rare gift of simplifying complicated issues.

So grab a decaffeinated extra hot almond caramel macchiato and enjoy the musings of a wise soul.

Shaw and Partners Foundation

Last weekend, the Adelaide Shaw and Partners crew completed the ‘Bloody Long Walk’ to raise money for the Mito Foundation.

The Mito Foundation supports people affected by mitochondrial disease (mito), funds essential for research into the prevention, diagnosis, treatment and cures of mitochondrial disorders, and increases awareness and education about this devastating disease.

Suzie from the Adelaide office lost her daughter to this horrendous disease and she and her team decided to do something about it; nor for herself, but for others who find themselves in a similar predicament.

Suzie raised $28,933 individually and Shaw and Partners’ staff managed to raise $43,891.

Click on the link to Suzie and her daughter Dot’s story below.

Budget 2022

Personal Income Tax

  •  No changes to the currently legislated personal income tax arrangements. Stage three tax cuts for 2024 will still come into effect, the 37% marginal rate for those earning over $120,000 will be eliminated. For those earning between $45,000 and $200,000, the 32.5% tax rate will decline to 30%. The top tax bracket (45%) will now apply at $200,000, not $180,000.

  • The $1,500 LMITO (Low and Middle income tax offset) has been allowed to lapse. This was a $1,500 tax rebate for those on incomes up to $126,000 and was introduced back in 2018.

Superannuation – Expanded eligibility for Downsizer contributions

The Government will allow more people to make downsizer contributions to their superannuation, by reducing the minimum eligibility age from 60 to 55 years of age. The measure will have effect from the start of the first quarter after Royal Assent of the enabling legislation. This was a pre-election announcement.

The downsizer contribution allows people to make a one-off post-tax contribution to their superannuation of up to $300,000 per person from the proceeds of selling their home. Both members of a couple can contribute, and contributions do not count towards non-concessional contribution caps.

Social Security

  • Lifting the income threshold for the Commonwealth Seniors Health card from $61,284 to $90,000 for singles and from $98,054 to $144,000 (combined) for couples.

  • Cheaper childcare.

  • Paid parental scheme to have greater flexibility for families from 1 July 2023.

Infrastructure

$9.6 billion toward several nationally significant infrastructure projects including:

  • Freight highway upgrades: $1.5 billion allocated for upgrading important highways that facilitate freight including the Tanami, Dukes, and Augusta highways, among others.

  • Suburban Rail Link in Victoria: $2.2 billion for the rail system that will connect every major rail line (and the airport) together in Victoria.

  • Electrification of public transport in WA: $670 million to manufacture more electric powered buses and battery charging technology in WA.

  • Western Sydney roads: $300 million for the development of road linkages in Western Sydney to foster efficient travel of passengers and freight before the new airport opens in 2026.

  • NBN: A $2.4 billion investment into the NBN to extend the network to 1.5 million more homes.

Electric cars

The Government will cut taxes on electric cars so that more Australians are able to afford them.

From 1 July 2022, the measure will exempt battery, hydrogen fuel cell and plug-in hybrid electric cars from fringe benefits tax and import tariffs if they have a first retail price below the luxury car tax threshold for fuel-efficient cars ($84,916 in 2022‑23). The car must not have been held or used before 1 July 2022.

Employers will need to include exempt electric car fringe benefits in an employee’s reportable fringe benefits amount.

Share buybacks

The decision to scrap the off-market buyback is not all that surprising.

Large companies that possess significant surplus franking credits would offer to buy back investors’ stock. The breakdown of the off-market buybacks were of the total amount paid to the shareholder, an artificially low capital component (which was well and truly picked up by the tax department and modified accordingly) and an inflated dividend component which enabled the distribution of the excess franking credits.

Well, no more.

It was a smart strategy when originally devised some years back, but much of the juice was squeezed out by the ATO when they tinkered with it, rendering it attractive to non-tax paying and low tax paying entities, at best.

It will impact Whitehaven’s (WHC) current capital management initiatives who were conducting both an on market and an off market buyback and will see them most likely paying large special dividends instead of the off market component.

Carbonxt - Cleaning Up

The Morrissey Exchange, Shaw and Partners: Carbonxt - Cleaning Up

In today’s podcast, Ben Morrissey interviews Mr Warren Murphy, CEO Carbonxt (CG1) for a second time, where we discuss the company as a whole but zero in on their recently announced deal.

CG1 is a rapidly expanding clean tech business located in the US. It started life as a company solely focused on using their patented Activated Carbon(AC) technology to remove mercury from the smokestacks in coal fired power plants. They now lead the world in the development of AC products aimed at capturing all manner of contaminants released in industrial processes via industrial air purification, wastewater treatment, etc.

CG1 has signed terms sheets for the establishment and financing of a 40% stake in a state-of-the-art activated carbon plant with Kentucky Coal Processing or KCP in Kentucky, USA. The facility will be on the site of, and joint funded by, KCP.

The new plant will be located alongside waste to energy provider Inez Power, also owned by KCP.

This company has truly served its apprenticeship and now has a real chance to shine.

So settle in under a tree, put your phone on ‘do not disturb’ and smell the flowers whilst you have a listen, because we’re going green.

Tune in fortnightly for the latest economic commentary and ideas.

Jimmy Orange

The Morrissey Exchange, Shaw and Partners: Jimmy Orange

In today’s podcast Ben Morrissey interviews Mr Jimmy Orange; the man with the coolest name in Australian sport.

Topic of discussion: Academy Movement; The pathway to success

Jimmy is the founder of Academy Movement; a sports based educational initiative designed to engage disillusioned students in lower socio-economic areas. Jimmy’s goal is to achieve the following:

  • Increased likelihood of completing VCE

  • Broaden potential career options

  • Improve physical and mental well-being

  • Provide a long-lost sense of belonging to both the community and school

  • Pathway to sporting excellence

It all sounds too good to be true but it’s not, and he already has the runs on the board.

So turn off all the superfluous discussion on football finals, tune in and enjoy.

Everything you wanted to know about what’s going on in this crazy world - Part 2

The Morrissey Exchange, Shaw and Partners: Everything you wanted to know about what’s going on in this crazy world- Part 2

In today’s podcast Ben Morrissey interviews Mr Martin Crabb, Chief Investment Officer at Shaw and Partners.

The topic of discussion is: Everything you wanted to know about what’s going on in this crazy world- Part 2.

In this second offering of a two part discussion, we cover issues such as property prices, supply chains, energy and geopolitical tensions and their ramifications for markets. 

This is an illuminating discussion between two men with over 60 years of combined market experience and well worth a listen.

Get some discussion fodder for your next dinner party and listen in.

Everything you wanted to know about what’s going on in this crazy world - Part 1

The Morrissey Exchange, Shaw and Partners: Everything you wanted to know about what’s going on in this crazy world - Part 1

In today’s podcast Ben Morrissey interviews Mr Martin Crabb, Chief Investment Officer at Shaw and Partners. 

The topic of discussion is: Everything you wanted to know about what’s going on in this crazy world- Part 1. 

In this first offering of a two part discussion, we traverse key talking points and areas of interest such as comparative market performance  and why, market direction, Chinese influence on our market, inflation, interest rate direction, gold performance (under) and more.

This is an illuminating discussion between two men with over 60 years of combined market experience and well worth a listen.

So spark up your otherwise uneventful drive home from work with some fascinating market insights.

All you need to know about Exchange Traded Funds

The Morrissey Exchange, Shaw and Partners: All you need to know about Exchange Traded Funds

In today’s podcast, Alex Henderson discusses the murky and complex world of Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s) with Damon Gosen, Director – Business Development at VanEck.

The growth of ETF’s has been phenomenal since they started in the US 29 years ago to become a $10.2 trillion force in listed markets. There are now more indices than stocks in the world, with innovative new thematics capturing investors’ attention. 

Put your feet up, grab a cup of tea and listen to these two gentlemen traverse the land of ETF’s and index investing.

This is getting interesting, 1 October 2021 Weekly Update

This is getting interesting

On Tuesday this week the market fell to its lowest point in 4 months, the next day enjoyed its best day this year, then got smacked again on Friday. Volatility is back. In summary, the market fell 167 points or 2.3% for the week.

Energy prices have replaced Evergrande on the front page of business papers this week - that was of course up until the only adult in State politics fell on her sword and resigned-. The oil price hit US$80/barrel for the first time in 3 years, gas prices have risen to US$30 plus per unit and thermal coal hit a high of US$218/tonne.

Fury Road (A.K.A. Westgate Freeway), 24 September Weekly update

Fury Road (A.K.A. Westgate Freeway)

Was that our beloved city this week or a scene out of Mad Max? ‘Now Let me be clear’. The Premier’s systematic destruction of people’s businesses, will’s and psychology is almost complete, topped off by a stunningly conspicuous lack of leadership and courage on Tuesday; when Rome was burning... Then the earthquake, what is going on?

The market also had a conniption early in the week but did recover to close the week down 0.8%.

The Art Of Investment, with Tony Smith from Cashel Family Office

The Morrissey Exchange, Shaw and Partners: The Art Of Investment, with Tony Smith from Cashel Family Office

There is a belief that investment is just a science; numbers, figures, profits, and bottom lines. In amongst all the data, however, there is a scope for artists and visionaries to roll up their sleeves and help businesses get the most out of what they’re doing and realise their potential.  

Tony Smith, Cashel Family Office’s Senior Portfolio Manager and Investment Committee Member, speaks with Ben Morrissey exploring the process of transforming companies from within and walks us through a few of his recent projects; IODM Limited (IOD) and Energy Technologies Limited (EGY). 

Don’t let earthquakes be the only thing to rock your world today.

This Is Serious, Mum, 17 September Weekly Update

This is Serious, Mum

The announcement by the Federal Government that they will be scrapping the previous agreement with the French (that is a decade behind schedule mind you) to the new nuclear-powered (and capable?) submarine fleet seems innocuous enough, but it’s all linked.

The US, UK and Australia (now a new acronym of AUKUS) are formalising a strategic security pact for the Indo Pacific region to cooperate in the development of a host of new tech defence systems including AI, hypersonic missiles and cyber weapons.

Tempering Enthusiasm, 10 September Weekly Update

Tempering Enthusiasm

In a bit of a topsy turvy week the market fell 116 points or 1.6%. Iron ore and gold keep falling, coking and thermal coal keep rising (coking coal at a 5-year record), and now thanks to a coup in Guinea, bauxite and alumina are rising with another 15% pop last night. Guinea is a major global bauxite supplier and accounts for around 55% of Chinese supply. This rise in the price of bauxite (the base ore used for aluminium extraction and refining) is good for Alumina (AWC) and South 32 (S32).

The market seems to be reconciling lower growth expectations at the moment, which in my view is entirely justifiable.

The Nuclear Alternative

The future is green; but is it glowing? 

Uranium. The dirty, radio-active, disaster starting, glowing green villain of energy sector is getting a P.R. make over and is now presenting as a sustainable green energy solution for the world has been searching.

The Paris Agreement set the long-term objective of stabilising “greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere" by reducing carbon emissions to zero by 2050. To date, the only sensible, long-term decarbonisation forecasts have uranium demand doubling over the next 30 years through to 2050; but what does this mean for investors?

Join Morrissey Group advisor, Ben Morrissey, as he speak with Shaw & Partners Resources and Energy analyst, Mike Clark, as they delve in to the "explosive" nuclear energy discussion.

Doughnut Dan, 3 September Weekly Update

Doughnut Dan

Well despite being locked up for the best part of the last two years, and soon to be subjected to the longest lockdown in the world, our rate of infections are escalating at a faster rate than that of our Northern counterpart where lockdowns were put off for as long as possible and weren’t as severe nor broadly applied. And closing playgrounds, I know they’ve backflipped on this but honestly. Hell we went into lockdown 24 hours after the Premier smugly bragged about his doughnut day.

Interview with Andrew Varlamos, CEO and Co-Founder of OpenInvest

The Morrissey Exchange, Shaw and Partners: Interview with Andrew Varlamos, CEO and Co-Founder of OpenInvest

In this episode Morrissey Group Wealth Advisor, Ben Morrissey, is joined by OpenInvest CEO and Co-Founder, Mr Andrew Varlamos.

Last year the Covid-19 pandemic saw the rise of speculative trading in shares both here and around the world as people were stuck at home in lockdowns looking for some form of entertainment. Online broking platforms such as Robinhood and Superhero provided small investors low or no cost access to the stock market. Armed with tips from golf buddies, the desire to take control themselves or just relief from the boredom, speculative trading in markets looks to be at an all time high.

But "Free" never comes without some cost, and many unadvised investors are missing out on some much needed professional assistance.

Enter OpenInvest. A forward thinking technology company enabling smaller investors to gain access to a professionally managed portfolio that would otherwise be reserved for those dealing directly with a broker or financial planner.

The future of Wealth Management is borderless, and it is companies with the vision and the technological knowhow that are changing the game and opening channels to connect professionals with would-be-investors.

Woodside want to be the Big Banana, 20 August 2021 Weekly Update

Woodside wants to be the Big Banana

The big news this week was the Woodside Petroleum/BHP Petroleum tie up which I’ll get onto later in the report. But the oil and gas space is already consolidating here; first Santos and Oil Search getting together, now Woodside is buying BHP’s Petroleum division. Is Beach Petroleum at risk of takeover?

The market slipped for the first time this week since early July, falling 2.2% to 7461. Australia’s unemployment rate fell from 4.9% to 4.6%, but the participation rate also fell marginally from 66.2% to 66% and underemployment rose from 7.9% to 8.3%.

Commodity prices rolling forward, 13 August 2021 Weekly Update

Commodity prices rolling forward

On a seemingly unstoppable roll, the market rose another 1.2% this week rising to 7629. In the US their reporting season has nearly come to a close, producing some exceptional results with 87% of the S&P 500 beating earnings expectations and providing encouragement and justification to buyers. I doubt this can continue.

Locally, insurers Suncorp, QBE and IAG made large profits because they’ve increased premiums pretty aggressively and no one can do anything so claims aren’t being triggered. Elsewhere commodity prices roll on like ocean swell, iron ore falling to $160/tonne and coal continuing its rise.